Super Tuesday Preview: Don’t believe the hype.
This is from a post by Morra Aarons at BlogHer.
Tomorrow, 22 states vote in presidential primaries. As nearly half the country prepares to vote, BlogHer will be on hand with dispatches and video blogging from our contributors’ states. You’re our eyes and ears on the ground, so please comment on our Open Thread tomorrow! For news, delegate information, and candidate schedules, see The New York Times’ Election Guide. For the best rundown of polling updates and state by state info, Professor Kim sent us a link to Joy Reid’s blog. There is just one word of caution I want to impart, courtesy of my fantastic statistics teacher Deb Hughes Hallett. The horse race coverage is a dangerous thing. You’ll hear that Hillary Clinton is down to a “single digit lead” in many key states, with Obama closing in. When you read exit polls Tuesday, you’ll hear that Hillary may be winning, say, 38% to 34%, or McCain is beating Romney by 3% points. Remember, in 2004 midday exit polls said Kerry was beating Bush, 50% to 48%….and we know what happened.
Also See:
The Huffington Post – Super Tuesday: The Illusion of Democracy
